Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (61% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Duchene 54.1% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Duchene leads 29-22 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 52.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 68.2%
Neutral zone
Haula 56.2%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 56.5%
56.5%
43.5%
Haula
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
29
(51 meetings)
22
29
Haula
Duchene
Last 10: Haula 3-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
7
11
Haula
Duchene
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
5
9
Haula
Duchene
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
10
9
Haula
Duchene
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (7,683)
53.9% (10,396)
-1.0%
Power Play
57.5% (603)
56.9% (1,665)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (791)
49.1% (468)
-5.6%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Haula is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,784).
Haula shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Haula
Duchene
Home
53.4% (4,478)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
51.3% (4,599)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Haula
Duchene
P1
53.2%
54.5%
P2
51.4%
54.5%
P3
52.7%
53.4%
OT
43.5%
56.3%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 16:18 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:30 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:39 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:15 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 19:42 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 06:47 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |