Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.6% vs 52.4%). Look for Duchene on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Duchene 52.1% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 69.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 55.2%
Neutral zone
Duchene 50.4%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Haula
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Haula
Duchene
Last 9: Haula 2-7 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
4
Haula
Duchene
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
3
Haula
Duchene
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (612)
53.0% (723)
-0.1%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
49.5% (101)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (75)
43.8% (16)
+4.2%
On power play, Haula has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Haula is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Haula shoots left. Duchene is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Haula
Duchene
Home
54.2% (345)
54.9% (408)
Away
51.1% (374)
50.0% (432)
By Period
Haula
Duchene
P1
55.8%
52.5%
P2
48.0%
51.7%
P3
54.1%
53.6%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:30 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:13 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 1 | 01:39 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 3 | 05:15 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:44 | Neutral | Erik Haula |