Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.8% vs Duchene 54.9% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 60.6%
Defensive zone
Haula 54.4%
Neutral zone
Haula 53.8%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Haula
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Haula
Duchene
Last 6: Haula 2-4 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
3
Haula
Duchene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (130)
55.4% (1,013)
-3.1%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
56.3% (192)
-10.8%
On power play, Duchene has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Haula is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (103).
Haula shoots left. Duchene is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Home / Away
Haula
Duchene
Home
50.0% (74)
56.2% (642)
Away
52.6% (78)
54.3% (580)
By Period
Haula
Duchene
P1
53.2%
56.2%
P2
52.8%
56.5%
P3
48.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
52.9%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
51.3%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 3 | 10:50 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 10:57 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 28, 2018 | 2 | 07:02 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |