Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.1% vs Dowd 49.1% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 88.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 63.5%
Neutral zone
Haula 63.1%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Haula
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Haula
Dowd
Last 7: Haula 6-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
0
Haula
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
3
0
Haula
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (704)
51.7% (644)
-1.7%
Power Play
55.4% (74)
0.0% (2)
+55.4%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
41.6% (221)
+2.5%
On power play, Haula has a +55.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Haula is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Haula shoots left. Dowd is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Haula
Dowd
Home
48.6% (426)
48.6% (451)
Away
51.6% (411)
49.5% (416)
By Period
Haula
Dowd
P1
52.2%
49.1%
P2
51.5%
47.3%
P3
46.7%
51.4%
OT
50.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 12:48 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |