Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.8% vs 53.7%). Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Haula wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.4% vs Dowd 53.3% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 84.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 79.6%
Neutral zone
Haula 51.1%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Haula
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Haula
Dowd
Last 10: Haula 6-4 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
4
1
Haula
Dowd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
Haula
Dowd
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
0
Haula
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (734)
55.4% (771)
-2.7%
Power Play
71.4% (49)
57.1% (7)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
45.5% (165)
+6.7%
On power play, Haula has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Haula is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Haula shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Haula
Dowd
Home
54.0% (404)
58.2% (462)
Away
53.7% (402)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Haula
Dowd
P1
50.8%
55.6%
P2
55.0%
50.5%
P3
55.1%
53.9%
OT
80.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2022 | 3 | 12:59 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 08:55 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 10, 2022 | 1 | 11:21 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 04:57 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 10, 2022 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Erik Haula |