Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Haula wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.3% vs Thompson 44.0% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 74.5%
Defensive zone
Haula 84.7%
Neutral zone
Haula 80.8%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Haula
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Haula
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
0
Haula
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (684)
44.6% (709)
+13.0%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
41.5% (53)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (145)
35.1% (97)
+10.4%
On even strength, Haula has a +13.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Haula is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Haula shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Haula
Thompson
Home
56.3% (449)
45.5% (426)
Away
53.3% (443)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Haula
Thompson
P1
58.4%
48.5%
P2
54.9%
43.8%
P3
52.0%
38.1%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2024 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 29, 2024 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |