Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Thompson 43.7% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 75.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 50.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 65.6%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 69.1%
30.9%
69.1%
Haula
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Haula
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Haula
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (612)
41.9% (597)
+11.0%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
50.5% (95)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (75)
25.0% (12)
+23.0%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Haula is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (213).
Haula shoots left. Thompson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Haula
Thompson
Home
54.2% (345)
47.1% (367)
Away
51.1% (374)
38.0% (337)
By Period
Haula
Thompson
P1
55.8%
44.2%
P2
48.0%
41.6%
P3
54.1%
42.9%
OT
100.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.6%
Thompson
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 5, 2024 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |