Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Haula wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Thompson 42.8% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 71.6%
Defensive zone
Haula 80.5%
Neutral zone
Haula 73.5%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Haula
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
10
(23 meetings)
13
10
Haula
Thompson
Last 10: Haula 4-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
5
Haula
Thompson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
6
0
Haula
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
5
5
Haula
Thompson
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (7,683)
42.9% (3,521)
+10.0%
Power Play
57.5% (603)
46.8% (372)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (791)
33.6% (265)
+9.9%
On power play, Haula has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,293).
Haula shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).
Home / Away
Haula
Thompson
Home
53.4% (4,478)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
51.3% (4,599)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Haula
Thompson
P1
53.2%
44.5%
P2
51.4%
43.6%
P3
52.7%
40.2%
OT
43.5%
36.4%
Final 5 min
51.5%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 14:17 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 01:17 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 13:13 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 5, 2024 | 3 | 11:36 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 5, 2024 | 3 | 03:39 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 4, 2024 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 29, 2024 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 29, 2024 | 2 | 19:29 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 27, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:29 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 28, 2022 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 03:24 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 2 | 16:03 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 05:11 | Neutral | Erik Haula |