Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.1% vs Thompson 45.3% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 67.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 64.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 62.9%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Haula
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Haula
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Haula
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Haula
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (704)
44.9% (642)
+5.1%
Power Play
55.4% (74)
47.9% (94)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
33.3% (33)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Haula is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (307).
Haula shoots left. Thompson is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Home / Away
Haula
Thompson
Home
48.6% (426)
46.0% (391)
Away
51.6% (411)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Haula
Thompson
P1
52.2%
48.1%
P2
51.5%
44.9%
P3
46.7%
41.2%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.8%
42.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 14:17 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 01:17 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 13:13 | Defensive | Erik Haula |