Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.1% vs 54.8%). Haula wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.6% vs Hertl 54.3% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 54.7%
Defensive zone
Hertl 54.8%
Neutral zone
Haula 58.3%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Haula
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Haula
Hertl
Last 6: Haula 2-4 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Haula
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Haula
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
0
Haula
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
54.7% (516)
54.7% (570)
+0.0%
Power Play
60.3% (126)
55.2% (143)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (62)
54.5% (77)
-17.4%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Haula shoots left. Hertl is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Haula
Hertl
Home
58.8% (386)
56.2% (379)
Away
48.4% (318)
53.5% (411)
By Period
Haula
Hertl
P1
53.8%
53.4%
P2
55.2%
52.7%
P3
53.2%
57.6%
OT
60.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.7%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 09:37 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 19:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 16:26 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 14:00 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 10:46 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |