Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.4% vs Hertl 52.3% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 58.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 62.7%
Neutral zone
Hertl 62.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
Haula
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Haula
Hertl
Last 9: Haula 1-8 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
4
Haula
Hertl
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Haula
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (734)
51.6% (1,084)
+1.1%
Power Play
71.4% (49)
61.0% (246)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
44.1% (136)
+8.1%
On power play, Haula has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Haula is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Haula shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Haula
Hertl
Home
54.0% (404)
55.2% (696)
Away
53.7% (402)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Haula
Hertl
P1
50.8%
55.4%
P2
55.0%
54.8%
P3
55.1%
48.9%
OT
80.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.1%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 19:38 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 10:55 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 05:01 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 14:24 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 3 | 15:08 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 24, 2021 | 1 | 01:01 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |