Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.2% vs 54.8%). Haula wins 53.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.8% vs Hertl 54.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 59.1%
Defensive zone
Haula 77.7%
Neutral zone
Haula 55.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Haula
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Haula
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Haula
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Haula
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (881)
54.1% (1,117)
+0.4%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
59.8% (296)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
34.4% (32)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Haula shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Haula
Hertl
Home
55.4% (520)
54.3% (709)
Away
53.1% (537)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Haula
Hertl
P1
56.5%
51.6%
P2
53.3%
53.6%
P3
53.8%
58.6%
OT
25.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
49.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:52 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:55 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:43 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 11:03 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |