Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.1% vs Hertl 57.2% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 58.8%
Defensive zone
Haula 74.2%
Neutral zone
Haula 58.1%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Haula
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Haula
Hertl
Last 10: Haula 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
6
Haula
Hertl
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
5
3
Haula
Hertl
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
0
Haula
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (704)
58.1% (823)
-8.1%
Power Play
55.4% (74)
56.2% (265)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
62.9% (35)
-18.8%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Haula is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Haula shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Haula
Hertl
Home
48.6% (426)
59.7% (561)
Away
51.6% (411)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Haula
Hertl
P1
52.2%
51.6%
P2
51.5%
63.8%
P3
46.7%
58.6%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.8%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 14:33 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Erik Haula |