Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Hertl 54.2% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 39-31 in 70 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 54.2%
Defensive zone
Haula 69.8%
Neutral zone
Haula 58.4%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Haula
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
31
-
39
(70 meetings)
31
39
Haula
Hertl
Last 10: Haula 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
7
16
Haula
Hertl
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
14
13
Haula
Hertl
27 total
Neutral Zone
Even
10
10
Haula
Hertl
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (7,683)
53.8% (8,268)
-0.9%
Power Play
57.5% (603)
59.3% (1,975)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (791)
46.3% (806)
-2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Haula is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,784).
Haula shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Haula
Hertl
Home
53.4% (4,478)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
51.3% (4,599)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Haula
Hertl
P1
53.2%
53.6%
P2
51.4%
54.1%
P3
52.7%
55.3%
OT
43.5%
46.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 15:57 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 09:44 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 14:27 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 14:06 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 11:56 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 14:33 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 11:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 12:18 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |