Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.9% vs Evans 49.8% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 86.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 57.9%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 61.9%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Rodrigues
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Rodrigues
Evans
Last 5: Rodrigues 1-4 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Evans
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
3
Rodrigues
Evans
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Rodrigues
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (318)
51.3% (739)
-4.1%
Power Play
52.4% (42)
53.3% (15)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
43.0% (172)
-0.7%
On even strength, Evans has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Rodrigues is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Rodrigues shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Evans
Home
49.8% (215)
52.1% (503)
Away
44.4% (171)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Rodrigues
Evans
P1
44.2%
50.5%
P2
53.5%
47.7%
P3
44.6%
51.3%
OT
40.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.4%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2021 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 12:47 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 1 | 12:43 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 19:52 | Neutral | Jake Evans |