Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Evans 52.6% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 64.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 89.4%
Neutral zone
Evans 56.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Rodrigues
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Rodrigues
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
1
Rodrigues
Evans
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
54.4% (824)
-8.8%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
66.7% (9)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
48.1% (289)
+1.9%
On power play, Evans has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Rodrigues is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Rodrigues shoots right. Evans is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (284).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Evans
Home
46.5% (142)
55.1% (541)
Away
43.6% (140)
50.8% (581)
By Period
Rodrigues
Evans
P1
42.9%
51.8%
P2
50.0%
53.3%
P3
42.4%
53.8%
OT
50.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
45.5%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:30 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 1, 2025 | 1 | 06:01 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Neutral | Jake Evans |