Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Evans 55.4% (-9.2%)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 73.4%
Defensive zone
Evans 75.5%
Neutral zone
Evans 51.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Rodrigues
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
56.2% (477)
-8.3%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
70.0% (10)
-22.1%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
55.4% (204)
-18.1%
On power play, Evans has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (201).
Rodrigues shoots right. Evans is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (175).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Evans
Home
48.3% (429)
55.3% (374)
Away
45.4% (346)
57.1% (317)
By Period
Rodrigues
Evans
P1
48.3%
58.5%
P2
46.9%
55.7%
P3
45.6%
53.9%
OT
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
56.2%