Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 50.0% vs Evans 52.0% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 76.7%
Defensive zone
Evans 91.2%
Neutral zone
Evans 66.8%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 76.7%
76.7%
23.3%
Rodrigues
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rodrigues
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (41)
54.4% (807)
-3.2%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
55.0% (20)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
46.1% (310)
+3.9%
On power play, Evans has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Rodrigues is 63.6% vs right-shot opponents (11).
Rodrigues shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Evans
Home
45.8% (24)
53.7% (581)
Away
52.9% (34)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Rodrigues
Evans
P1
38.1%
54.6%
P2
52.6%
50.0%
P3
61.1%
52.3%
Final 5 min
33.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
50.0%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 10:30 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |