Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.9% vs Staal 56.8% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 65.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 62.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.1%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Rodrigues
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rodrigues
Staal
Last 5: Rodrigues 2-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Rodrigues
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (318)
58.9% (1,041)
-11.7%
Power Play
52.4% (42)
53.4% (73)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
49.1% (171)
-6.8%
On even strength, Staal has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Rodrigues shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Staal
Home
49.8% (215)
59.0% (578)
Away
44.4% (171)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Rodrigues
Staal
P1
44.2%
57.1%
P2
53.5%
60.9%
P3
44.6%
55.8%
OT
40.0%
20.8%
Final 5 min
51.6%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 3 | 11:50 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 18:06 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 17:59 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 20, 2022 | 2 | 05:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |