Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Staal 54.6% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 57.3%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 63.7%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 57.2%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 59.1%
59.1%
40.9%
Rodrigues
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
Rodrigues
Staal
Last 10: Rodrigues 2-8 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
6
Rodrigues
Staal
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
4
Rodrigues
Staal
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
2
Rodrigues
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
56.1% (955)
-8.2%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
66.9% (142)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
43.0% (242)
-5.7%
On power play, Staal has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Staal
Home
48.3% (429)
55.4% (663)
Away
45.4% (346)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Rodrigues
Staal
P1
48.3%
55.1%
P2
46.9%
54.7%
P3
45.6%
53.9%
OT
44.4%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 13:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 13:19 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | OT | 04:36 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 19, 2025 | OT | 01:55 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 08:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 19:33 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 16:54 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 07:28 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 07:15 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 02:41 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 13:23 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 19, 2025 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |