Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 49.6% vs Staal 55.3% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 63.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 71.0%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 52.1%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Rodrigues
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Rodrigues
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Rodrigues
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (180)
56.3% (1,115)
-1.9%
Power Play
32.0% (25)
61.2% (67)
-29.2%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
52.1% (292)
-16.0%
On power play, Staal has a +29.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Rodrigues is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Rodrigues shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Staal
Home
47.9% (119)
58.3% (705)
Away
50.8% (122)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Rodrigues
Staal
P1
53.8%
54.5%
P2
51.9%
58.2%
P3
43.2%
54.1%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 2 | 13:29 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 05:43 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |