Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.9% vs Eller 49.5% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 79.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 59.8%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 58.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Rodrigues
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Rodrigues
Eller
Last 5: Rodrigues 1-4 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
4
Rodrigues
Eller
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (318)
51.1% (786)
-3.9%
Power Play
52.4% (42)
45.0% (80)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
43.6% (165)
-1.3%
On power play, Rodrigues has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Rodrigues shoots right. Eller is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Eller
Home
49.8% (215)
51.2% (510)
Away
44.4% (171)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Rodrigues
Eller
P1
44.2%
50.7%
P2
53.5%
49.0%
P3
44.6%
48.3%
OT
40.0%
56.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.4%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2021 | 3 | 05:40 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 3 | 05:33 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 07:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 1 | 03:20 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 14, 2021 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |