Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 49.6% vs Eller 53.3% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 67.6%
Defensive zone
Eller 78.8%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.7%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Rodrigues
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Rodrigues
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
1
Rodrigues
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Rodrigues
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (180)
53.8% (865)
+0.6%
Power Play
32.0% (25)
57.1% (21)
-25.1%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
52.6% (137)
-16.5%
On power play, Eller has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Rodrigues is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Rodrigues shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Eller
Home
47.9% (119)
56.4% (486)
Away
50.8% (122)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Rodrigues
Eller
P1
53.8%
55.1%
P2
51.9%
55.3%
P3
43.2%
51.7%
OT
33.3%
27.3%
Final 5 min
56.7%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2023 | 1 | 15:45 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 3 | 01:27 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 2 | 12:37 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 19, 2022 | 1 | 09:56 | Offensive | Lars Eller |