Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Eller 55.7% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 51.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 67.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.2%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
Rodrigues
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Rodrigues
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Rodrigues
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
56.5% (434)
-8.6%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
77.8% (9)
-29.9%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
56.5% (46)
-19.2%
On power play, Eller has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Eller is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Eller
Home
48.3% (429)
53.1% (211)
Away
45.4% (346)
59.7% (278)
By Period
Rodrigues
Eller
P1
48.3%
55.4%
P2
46.9%
58.1%
P3
45.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.6%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 06:55 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |