Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.9% vs Dowd 53.3% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 91.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 80.7%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 52.8%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Rodrigues
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rodrigues
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Rodrigues
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (318)
55.4% (771)
-8.2%
Power Play
52.4% (42)
57.1% (7)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
45.5% (165)
-3.2%
On even strength, Dowd has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Rodrigues is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Rodrigues shoots right. Dowd is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Dowd
Home
49.8% (215)
58.2% (462)
Away
44.4% (171)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Rodrigues
Dowd
P1
44.2%
55.6%
P2
53.5%
50.5%
P3
44.6%
53.9%
OT
40.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2022 | 1 | 01:01 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |