Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 40.8% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 49.6% vs Dowd 50.7% (-1.4%)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 88.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 74.3%
Neutral zone
Dowd 56.2%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Rodrigues
Dowd
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (180)
55.2% (625)
-0.8%
Power Play
32.0% (25)
57.1% (7)
-25.1%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
38.2% (220)
-2.1%
On power play, Dowd has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Rodrigues is 40.8% vs right-shot opponents (76).
Rodrigues shoots right. Dowd is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (295).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Dowd
Home
47.9% (119)
53.7% (445)
Away
50.8% (122)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Rodrigues
Dowd
P1
53.8%
48.8%
P2
51.9%
49.3%
P3
43.2%
54.0%
OT
33.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
56.7%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%