Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 44.0% vs Zacha 44.6% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 56.2%
Defensive zone
Zacha 62.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 54.7%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Rodrigues
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Rodrigues
Zacha
Last 7: Rodrigues 7-0 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
0
Rodrigues
Zacha
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
0
Rodrigues
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (338)
43.9% (643)
-2.5%
Power Play
53.8% (26)
48.9% (45)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
37.8% (37)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Rodrigues is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Rodrigues shoots right. Zacha is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Zacha
Home
40.9% (159)
44.6% (397)
Away
43.5% (209)
43.0% (328)
By Period
Rodrigues
Zacha
P1
47.8%
43.5%
P2
37.6%
44.6%
P3
42.1%
43.8%
OT
0.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
44.8%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
42.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 1 | 16:42 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 07:03 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 06:58 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |