Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Zacha 51.7% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 59.6%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 52.6%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 59.8%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Rodrigues
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Rodrigues
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Rodrigues
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
53.3% (646)
-5.4%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
53.0% (100)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
38.9% (72)
-1.6%
On even strength, Zacha has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Zacha is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Zacha
Home
48.3% (429)
51.7% (410)
Away
45.4% (346)
52.2% (408)
By Period
Rodrigues
Zacha
P1
48.3%
57.7%
P2
46.9%
48.9%
P3
45.6%
50.2%
OT
44.4%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 15:50 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:58 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |