Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on neutral-zone draws (56% H2H, 9 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Zacha 49.1% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Rodrigues leads 15-14 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 60.0%
Defensive zone
Zacha 55.1%
Neutral zone
Zacha 54.2%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Rodrigues
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
14
(29 meetings)
15
14
Rodrigues
Zacha
Last 10: Rodrigues 3-7 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Rodrigues
Zacha
12 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Rodrigues
Zacha
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
5
4
Rodrigues
Zacha
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,883)
48.9% (5,102)
-2.7%
Power Play
45.0% (298)
55.6% (804)
-10.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (219)
42.2% (555)
+0.7%
On power play, Zacha has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,422).
Rodrigues shoots right. Zacha is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (2,539).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Zacha
Home
47.1% (1,820)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Rodrigues
Zacha
P1
46.9%
49.9%
P2
46.1%
49.2%
P3
44.6%
48.1%
OT
48.5%
53.1%
Final 5 min
48.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 15:50 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:58 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 19, 2021 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:26 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 02:55 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 01:05 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 05:41 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 03:36 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 3 | 18:35 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 3 | 01:21 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 11:37 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 25, 2019 | 2 | 09:49 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 8, 2019 | 3 | 17:43 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |