Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.9% vs Zacha 50.1% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 50.1%
Defensive zone
Zacha 56.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 57.6%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Rodrigues
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rodrigues
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (318)
48.0% (296)
-0.8%
Power Play
52.4% (42)
61.0% (59)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (26)
50.0% (22)
-7.7%
On power play, Zacha has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Rodrigues shoots right. Zacha is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Zacha
Home
49.8% (215)
48.9% (223)
Away
44.4% (171)
51.9% (154)
By Period
Rodrigues
Zacha
P1
44.2%
47.9%
P2
53.5%
48.3%
P3
44.6%
54.3%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.6%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.4%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2021 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |