Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Zacha 52.8% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 72.0%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 71.6%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 71.6%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Rodrigues
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Rodrigues
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Rodrigues
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
54.1% (534)
-8.5%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
56.0% (109)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.8% (96)
+5.2%
On power play, Zacha has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Rodrigues shoots right. Zacha is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Zacha
Home
46.5% (142)
53.4% (406)
Away
43.6% (140)
52.9% (333)
By Period
Rodrigues
Zacha
P1
42.9%
56.8%
P2
50.0%
53.6%
P3
42.4%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.0%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 16:26 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |