Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 45.6% vs Zacha 51.3% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 60.1%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 59.8%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 59.6%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Rodrigues
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Rodrigues
Zacha
Last 6: Rodrigues 2-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
3
Rodrigues
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (100)
53.3% (411)
-10.3%
Power Play
23.1% (13)
51.8% (114)
-28.7%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (15)
42.0% (81)
+11.3%
On power play, Zacha has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Rodrigues shoots right. Zacha is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Zacha
Home
44.0% (75)
52.2% (295)
Away
39.6% (53)
50.8% (311)
By Period
Rodrigues
Zacha
P1
48.6%
50.5%
P2
38.3%
51.3%
P3
41.9%
52.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
42.2%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 3 | 00:26 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Apr 9, 2021 | 1 | 02:55 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 21, 2021 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 01:05 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |