Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Kuraly 49.2% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 68.5%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 71.3%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 50.6%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
46.9% (525)
50.8% (370)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (57)
44.1% (127)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Rodrigues shoots right. Kuraly is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Home
46.3% (354)
52.8% (269)
Away
45.0% (282)
44.7% (228)
By Period
Rodrigues
Kuraly
P1
47.7%
53.2%
P2
46.0%
45.8%
P3
43.2%
47.9%
Final 5 min
51.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
44.0%▬
44.0%
45.8%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |