Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Rodrigues leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 78.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 84.1%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 64.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
12
(27 meetings)
15
12
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Last 10: Rodrigues 7-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
6
4
Rodrigues
Kuraly
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
5
2
Rodrigues
Kuraly
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
4
6
Rodrigues
Kuraly
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,883)
51.5% (5,141)
-5.3%
Power Play
45.0% (298)
56.0% (100)
-11.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (219)
44.2% (1,086)
-1.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,422).
Rodrigues shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Home
47.1% (1,820)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Rodrigues
Kuraly
P1
46.9%
51.1%
P2
46.1%
49.9%
P3
44.6%
50.0%
OT
48.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
45.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 07:18 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 14:55 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 08:27 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 01:42 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 01:30 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |