Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Kuraly 50.1% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 71.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 71.8%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 51.7%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
51.8% (444)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
45.3% (150)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Kuraly has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Kuraly is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Home
48.3% (429)
54.6% (304)
Away
45.4% (346)
45.5% (290)
By Period
Rodrigues
Kuraly
P1
48.3%
55.2%
P2
46.9%
45.7%
P3
45.6%
49.5%
OT
44.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 07:18 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 07:02 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 01:10 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:49 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |