Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 42.6% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.3% vs Kuraly 53.7% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 56.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 91.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 65.5%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (250)
55.3% (515)
-9.7%
Power Play
40.0% (30)
55.6% (9)
-15.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.8% (58)
+5.2%
On power play, Kuraly has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (223).
Rodrigues shoots right. Kuraly is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Home
46.5% (142)
57.3% (293)
Away
43.6% (140)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Rodrigues
Kuraly
P1
42.9%
53.8%
P2
50.0%
51.5%
P3
42.4%
57.6%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
44.0%▬
44.0%
45.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 01:50 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |