Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.4% vs 49.6%). Rodrigues wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 49.6% vs Kuraly 49.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 78.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 85.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 59.4%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (180)
49.2% (901)
+5.2%
Power Play
32.0% (25)
68.2% (22)
-36.2%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
49.8% (219)
-13.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +36.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Rodrigues is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Rodrigues shoots right. Kuraly is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (378).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Home
47.9% (119)
51.7% (603)
Away
50.8% (122)
47.3% (539)
By Period
Rodrigues
Kuraly
P1
53.8%
50.9%
P2
51.9%
49.5%
P3
43.2%
49.1%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2022 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 19:11 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 18:56 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 4, 2022 | 3 | 14:55 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |