Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.9% vs Kuraly 53.2% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 75.4%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 57.7%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 66.0%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Last 6: Rodrigues 2-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Rodrigues
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
2
Rodrigues
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (560)
54.5% (464)
-7.9%
Power Play
42.4% (59)
0.0% (1)
+42.4%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (36)
50.0% (66)
+0.0%
On power play, Rodrigues has a +42.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (466).
Rodrigues shoots right. Kuraly is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Home
48.5% (379)
52.3% (281)
Away
43.5% (276)
55.6% (250)
By Period
Rodrigues
Kuraly
P1
48.8%
56.0%
P2
43.8%
60.8%
P3
45.6%
44.3%
OT
77.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
40.8%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
46.4%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 19:48 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 3 | 05:27 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 11:49 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |