Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +15.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 45.6% vs Kuraly 55.9% (-15.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 74.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 68.2%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 54.3%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Last 5: Rodrigues 2-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Rodrigues
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Rodrigues
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (100)
58.4% (310)
-15.4%
Power Play
23.1% (13)
66.7% (6)
-43.6%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (15)
53.0% (83)
+0.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Rodrigues is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (76).
Rodrigues shoots right. Kuraly is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Kuraly
Home
44.0% (75)
57.1% (184)
Away
39.6% (53)
57.7% (215)
By Period
Rodrigues
Kuraly
P1
48.6%
56.0%
P2
38.3%
56.6%
P3
41.9%
58.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
62.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
42.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2021 | 3 | 10:54 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 25, 2021 | 2 | 10:40 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 3, 2021 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |