Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.3% vs Hertl 57.2% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 79.2%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 66.3%
Neutral zone
Hertl 55.3%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
Rodrigues
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Rodrigues
Hertl
Last 6: Rodrigues 3-3 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Rodrigues
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
0
Rodrigues
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (637)
58.1% (823)
-10.2%
Power Play
47.9% (71)
56.2% (265)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (67)
62.9% (35)
-25.6%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Rodrigues is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
Rodrigues shoots right. Hertl is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Hertl
Home
48.3% (429)
59.7% (561)
Away
45.4% (346)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Rodrigues
Hertl
P1
48.3%
51.6%
P2
46.9%
63.8%
P3
45.6%
58.6%
OT
44.4%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
47.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 14:29 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 07:28 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 05:33 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 08:13 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 17:49 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 17:43 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |