Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 50.0% vs Hertl 56.8% (-7.5%)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 60.4%
Defensive zone
Hertl 74.4%
Neutral zone
Hertl 60.1%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 58.0%
42.0%
58.0%
Rodrigues
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (41)
57.0% (718)
-5.8%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
64.9% (188)
-18.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.2% (77)
+5.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +18.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (47).
Rodrigues shoots right. Hertl is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (352).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Hertl
Home
45.8% (24)
59.2% (463)
Away
52.9% (34)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Rodrigues
Hertl
P1
38.1%
56.3%
P2
52.6%
55.4%
P3
61.1%
60.5%
Final 5 min
33.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
50.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%