Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 49.6% vs Hertl 54.5% (-5.4%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 70.5%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 54.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 56.2%
43.8%
56.2%
Rodrigues
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (180)
54.1% (1,117)
+0.3%
Power Play
32.0% (25)
59.8% (296)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
36.1% (36)
34.4% (32)
+1.7%
On power play, Hertl has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Rodrigues is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Rodrigues shoots right. Hertl is 61.2% vs right-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Hertl
Home
47.9% (119)
54.3% (709)
Away
50.8% (122)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Rodrigues
Hertl
P1
53.8%
51.6%
P2
51.9%
53.6%
P3
43.2%
58.6%
OT
33.3%
45.5%
Final 5 min
56.7%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
42.0%▼
50.0%
49.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%