Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Coyle wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Malkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Coyle 48.6% vs Malkin 44.1% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 76.3%
Defensive zone
Malkin 58.2%
Neutral zone
Malkin 64.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 71.2%
28.8%
71.2%
Coyle
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Coyle
Malkin
Last 6: Coyle 2-4 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
3
Coyle
Malkin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
1
0
Coyle
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Coyle
Malkin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Coyle
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (402)
42.4% (340)
+5.9%
Power Play
51.2% (41)
47.1% (17)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (64)
0.0% (1)
+46.9%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +46.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Coyle is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Coyle shoots right. Malkin is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (159).
Home / Away
Coyle
Malkin
Home
52.5% (238)
43.6% (172)
Away
44.6% (269)
41.4% (186)
By Period
Coyle
Malkin
P1
49.7%
43.4%
P2
49.5%
44.2%
P3
46.3%
38.7%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
53.8%
44.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
48.3%
Malkin
48.0%▬
47.0%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 03:31 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 03:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 16, 2021 | 1 | 00:39 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 1 | 04:25 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |