Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 49.4% vs Hughes 37.9% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 54.6%
Defensive zone
Malkin 56.1%
Neutral zone
Malkin 51.1%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Malkin
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Malkin
Hughes
Last 8: Malkin 4-4 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Hughes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
1
0
Malkin
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
3
Malkin
Hughes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (811)
34.9% (444)
+14.1%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
50.0% (14)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
33.3% (6)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Malkin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (568).
Malkin shoots left. Hughes is 35.4% vs left-shot opponents (285).
Home / Away
Malkin
Hughes
Home
52.3% (438)
37.4% (235)
Away
46.2% (418)
33.2% (229)
By Period
Malkin
Hughes
P1
51.3%
37.1%
P2
50.8%
33.7%
P3
45.0%
34.8%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
32.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
49.3%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 09:18 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 04:36 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 17:19 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |