Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.4% vs Hughes 39.2% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hughes 59.2%
Defensive zone
Hughes 64.4%
Neutral zone
Hughes 64.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Malkin
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Malkin
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
0
2
Malkin
Hughes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (602)
37.9% (623)
+7.6%
Power Play
50.0% (30)
33.3% (33)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
36.4% (11)
+63.6%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +63.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Malkin shoots left. Hughes is 37.9% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Malkin
Hughes
Home
47.5% (326)
36.6% (314)
Away
44.0% (307)
38.5% (353)
By Period
Malkin
Hughes
P1
49.3%
36.4%
P2
44.7%
35.6%
P3
42.3%
41.8%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 14:33 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 11:56 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |