Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hughes on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Hughes 36.6% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Hughes leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Hughes 51.5%
Defensive zone
Hughes 50.3%
Neutral zone
Hughes 52.4%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Malkin
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Malkin
Hughes
Last 10: Malkin 3-7 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
5
2
Malkin
Hughes
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Hughes
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hughes
2
6
Malkin
Hughes
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
36.0% (2,887)
+9.6%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
38.8% (224)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
31.0% (42)
+1.2%
On power play, Malkin has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Malkin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,274).
Malkin shoots left. Hughes is 34.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,931).
Home / Away
Malkin
Hughes
Home
47.6% (5,395)
36.8% (1,670)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
35.4% (1,483)
By Period
Malkin
Hughes
P1
45.9%
36.9%
P2
46.2%
33.6%
P3
45.2%
38.1%
OT
49.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
34.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 3 | 14:33 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:56 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 11:56 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 09:18 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 1 | 04:36 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 14:43 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 01:05 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 17:19 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 01:07 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 13, 2022 | 2 | 06:53 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 07:11 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 22, 2019 | 3 | 09:36 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 15, 2019 | 2 | 02:17 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |