Scouting Report
Evgeni Malkin holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 46.1% vs Hughes 39.8% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 54.7%
Defensive zone
Hughes 52.7%
Neutral zone
Hughes 58.6%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Malkin
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Malkin
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Malkin
Hughes
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (219)
36.8% (266)
+8.9%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
14.3% (7)
+20.3%
On power play, Malkin has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Malkin is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Malkin shoots left. Hughes is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Malkin
Hughes
Home
50.4% (113)
35.1% (148)
Away
39.4% (132)
37.4% (131)
By Period
Malkin
Hughes
P1
47.7%
43.0%
P2
44.9%
28.7%
P3
40.0%
35.2%
Final 5 min
35.3%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
44.5%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 01:11 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | Jack Hughes |