Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Malkin wins 43.0% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.9% vs Evans 52.2% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 88.9%
Defensive zone
Evans 81.0%
Neutral zone
Malkin 54.0%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Malkin
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Malkin
Evans
Last 10: Malkin 2-8 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
6
1
Malkin
Evans
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
4
Malkin
Evans
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
6
Malkin
Evans
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (10,081)
53.8% (3,695)
-8.2%
Power Play
50.1% (668)
60.0% (70)
-9.9%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (59)
47.1% (1,222)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Evans has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Malkin is 43.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,557).
Malkin shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,695).
Home / Away
Malkin
Evans
Home
47.6% (5,395)
53.4% (2,593)
Away
44.0% (5,436)
51.0% (2,394)
By Period
Malkin
Evans
P1
45.9%
54.0%
P2
46.2%
50.9%
P3
45.2%
52.0%
OT
49.0%
46.5%
Final 5 min
46.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 11:56 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 17:53 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 13:27 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 1 | 07:19 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 2 | 11:28 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 09:41 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 15:42 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 15:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:55 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Oct 17, 2022 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |