Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Malkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Evans 52.0% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Evans leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Malkin 89.3%
Defensive zone
Evans 79.9%
Neutral zone
Malkin 56.9%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Malkin
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Malkin
Evans
Last 10: Malkin 5-5 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
2
1
Malkin
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
2
Malkin
Evans
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
2
3
Malkin
Evans
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
54.4% (807)
-6.5%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
55.0% (20)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
46.1% (310)
+53.9%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +53.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Malkin is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Malkin shoots left. Evans is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (855).
Home / Away
Malkin
Evans
Home
49.6% (405)
53.7% (581)
Away
47.5% (396)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Malkin
Evans
P1
49.6%
54.6%
P2
47.2%
50.0%
P3
48.5%
52.3%
OT
100.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
48.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 09:41 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 10:03 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:58 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:22 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 15:42 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 13:35 | Defensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 15:20 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 13, 2023 | 1 | 10:20 | Defensive | Jake Evans |