Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Malkin wins 38.3% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 45.0% vs Evans 49.8% (-6.2%)
Offensive zone
Malkin 80.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 82.6%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.5%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Malkin
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (366)
51.3% (739)
-7.3%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
53.3% (15)
-23.3%
On power play, Evans has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Malkin is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Malkin shoots left. Evans is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (667).
Home / Away
Malkin
Evans
Home
45.5% (202)
52.1% (503)
Away
41.4% (174)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Malkin
Evans
P1
48.4%
50.5%
P2
41.7%
47.7%
P3
40.4%
51.3%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
43.6%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%